TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Tromsø ILof Molde FK, Tromsø IL
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,324 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa0dc…586cbacked Molde FK41c731.71$300 inLost-$3006752.2%35 W · 32 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Tromsø IL60c719.62$429 inWon+$290.52,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Molde FK27c678.25$186 inLost-$185.622,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Tromsø IL73c627.26$458 inWon+$169.369846.9%46 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Molde FK26c247.63$65 inLost-$65.227,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Tromsø IL72c212$153 inWon+$59.367338.4%28 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Molde FK36c99.99$36 inLost-$3611022.7%25 W · 85 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Tromsø IL74c59.85$44 inWon+$15.5618756.1%105 W · 82 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Tromsø IL64c57.81$37 inWon+$20.8189258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Tromsø IL72c39.54$28 inWon+$11.072,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Tromsø IL75c28$21 inWon+$73268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Tromsø IL64c27$17 inWon+$9.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Tromsø IL66c19.79$13 inWon+$6.642466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.8wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+43.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Tromsø IL74c19.23$14 inWon+$53871.1%27 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Tromsø IL78c18$14 inWon+$3.962,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.