Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AIK win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8f154f0ca38d80014fabe0dd4c875dd5129fbd83767523fb048f50733570e99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Yes | 57c | 17,597$9,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,642.03 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 15,222$4,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,335.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 77c | 9,165$7,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.77 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 6,329$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.02 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 3,870$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.19 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 27c | 2,481$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.48 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46ca…ac4cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 44c | 949.03$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.35 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 14c | 546$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.18 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 14c | 430.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 352.72$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.28 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 23c | 331.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 21c | 278.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 16c | 260.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 57c | 260.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 20c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 174.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 75c | 116.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 63c | 109.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 22c | 98.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 75c | 97.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 20c | 86.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 30c | 81.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 25c | 70.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 73c | 68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 30c | 64.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d56…4667backed Yes | 16c | 63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 79c | 59.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 80c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 31c | 56.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 26c | 53.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 25c | 44.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed53…456cbacked No | 39c | 38.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4b…655cbacked Yes | 60c | 30.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AIK win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Djurgardens IF vs. AIK end in a draw?No won
- Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.