Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e17f8e809c1d1ff232ac7712eadde3b13c3ed8c83ebf287522e354255af2c5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 69c | 9,054$6,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,247.26 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 56c | 8,570$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.01 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 31c | 6,821$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,706.47 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 31c | 6,816$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.83 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 2,480$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 56c | 1,452$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.49 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 35c | 1,396$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.61 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 35c | 1,203$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.31 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 1,192$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.31 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 53c | 985.95$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.44 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Yes | 62c | 682.73$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 38c | 664$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.68 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 34c | 415.01$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.92 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 66c | 380$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 4c | 350$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 288.4$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.59 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 69c | 149.87$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.41 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…371cbacked Yes | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 37c | 135$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 63c | 124.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 31c | 99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 31c | 95.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 43c | 83.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 43c | 83.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 68c | 46.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 69c | 46.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…1ca6backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 34c | 43.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 44c | 40.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 40.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 43c | 34.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Yes | 70c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 43c | 31.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked No | 38c | 29.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 66c | 25.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed Yes | 63c | 25.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af9…5bf2backed No | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed Yes | 66c | 22.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 64c | 21.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 64c | 21.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…1586backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will AIK win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
- Will Djurgardens IF vs. AIK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.