Champions League · resolved market
Will AEK win on 2026-08-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea15257b0eb7c051e802baf467f030a51557c18998dc072d4a264b1a2d3ea033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86da…6428backed Yes | 40c | 54,934$21,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,926.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 60c | 38,468$23,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,235.16 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 60c | 18,000$10,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,211.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 14,944$10,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,546.2 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 5,653$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.88 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 30c | 5,503$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.5 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 41c | 2,481$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.21 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 43c | 2,135$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 58c | 1,983$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.86 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +9.2wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 41c | 1,532$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.07 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed No | 60c | 1,344$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.86 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 1,309$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.66 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 60c | 1,275$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.06 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 65c | 1,164$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.32 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 1,143$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.23 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 40c | 1,052$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.61 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 91 | 19.8%18 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 62c | 999.95$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.98 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 38c | 874.1$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.52 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 820.04$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.74 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 40c | 806.21$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.49 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 40c | 780$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…daa1backed No | 58c | 733$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Yes | 28c | 716.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3456…57ecbacked No | 59c | 714.01$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 671.44$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.78 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 27c | 663.87$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.72 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed Yes | 33c | 529.55$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…b74cbacked Yes | 40c | 525$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…3338backed No | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…8fffbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 62c | 467$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.31 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed No | 62c | 418.48$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 40c | 397.18$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.87 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Yes | 41c | 380.03$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed No | 58c | 370$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 60c | 338.94$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…6fa1backed Yes | 42c | 329.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…f4e1backed Yes | 42c | 300.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 36c | 299.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 75c | 285$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 60c | 274.41$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…5bc8backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 42c | 236.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 59c | 235$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 71c | 231$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 54 | 75.9%41 W · 13 L | +10.4wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 223$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed No | 60c | 210$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed No | 60c | 205$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked No | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0085…1d78backed Yes | 41c | 178.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Yes | 40c | 178$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 41c | 165.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 62c | 164.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 72c | 153.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 40c | 144$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 41c | 139.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 61c | 134.91$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked No | 61c | 119.04$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 26c | 116.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…5a25backed Yes | 24c | 105.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc41…c3aebacked Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 60c | 100.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +208.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Yes | 41c | 99.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 65c | 99.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 41c | 93.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 40c | 92.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +57%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…a393backed Yes | 41c | 78.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 27c | 74.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7c…c310backed Yes | 40c | 72.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Yes | 41c | 72.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes | 42c | 71.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked No | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 73c | 69.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Yes | 41c | 66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed No | 69c | 65.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 40c | 65.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed No | 59c | 63.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked No | 60c | 63.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AEK win on 2026-08-18?this page
- Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.