Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe509d1366da880e4c83fc68a03ffa1f82a7ad2ccc408118aff6ffa499bc883ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 44c | 3,132$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.2 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 44c | 1,557$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.15 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 581.03$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.97 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bd…0b20backed No | 22c | 450.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed Yes | 42c | 344.08$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.57 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 56c | 258.18$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 44c | 210$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 56c | 156$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 37c | 154.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 57c | 149.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 134.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 124.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 9c | 114$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 42c | 97.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 43c | 92.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 19c | 68.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked No | 57c | 42.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 52c | 40.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 34c | 38.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 59c | 32.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 56c | 20.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 58c | 17.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Amed Sportif vs. Erzurumspor FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.