Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6172ea82cdc5229cae04838fd1a4af18afba1a67eeea3a3fd2bf3690b55281ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 26c | 13,865$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.46 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 11,948$8,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 2,239$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.04 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 26c | 2,124$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.59 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 31c | 1,004$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.86 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 597.14$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.17 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 70c | 508$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 74c | 346$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 74c | 302.46$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 243.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 74c | 205.02$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 75c | 195.97$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 75c | 185.76$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed No | 73c | 182$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 28c | 171.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 149$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 144.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 21c | 118.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 27c | 99.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 97.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 22c | 97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 75c | 96.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…6c4cbacked Yes | 60c | 86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 82.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 24c | 81.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 78c | 75.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 70c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 74c | 61.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 74c | 61.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 72c | 52.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e8…7e5cbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…3566backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 71c | 34.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 78c | 19.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 69c | 19.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 18.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Amed Sportif vs. Erzurumspor FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.