Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44b3292333d53da31f50e507a8391164f61081f6778e4fb28de7dd9ab6b8ec9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 52c | 19,196$9,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,214.12 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 48c | 6,480$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.28 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 47c | 6,303$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 5,799$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.46 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 48c | 5,043$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 5,017$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.21 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 4,868$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.96 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 34c | 4,453$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.74 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 48c | 3,875$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.17 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…203cbacked Yes | 22c | 3,203$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 48c | 3,123$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.04 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 64c | 2,857$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.88 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 48c | 2,243$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.52 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 33c | 1,583$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.77 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…9671backed No | 71c | 1,498$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 1,231$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.94 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 52c | 1,172$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.86 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0db6backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 10c | 908$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 52c | 870.03$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.61 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 49c | 809.57$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.69 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 52c | 796.79$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.61 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 15c | 727.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 53c | 725.58$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.91 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 52c | 692.24$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.28 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 51c | 563.56$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.33 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…b74cbacked No | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 48c | 486.11$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 48c | 467$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.16 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 52c | 392.08$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 379.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 59c | 368.09$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 8c | 362.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 12c | 304.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Yes | 48c | 284.06$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 48c | 272.23$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 48c | 267.7$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 52c | 256$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…4ac2backed No | 51c | 237.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 52c | 218$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 12c | 216.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1469…677abacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 53c | 204.62$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 173$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 11c | 169.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked Yes | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 52c | 155.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked No | 52c | 142.68$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 126.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 76c | 119.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 110.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 49c | 98.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -7.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 33c | 95.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked No | 76c | 87.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 41c | 85.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 60c | 82.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…0c31backed Yes | 26c | 78.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 72.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…bb0fbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 39c | 62.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 32c | 53.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 31c | 53.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 25c | 52.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…8b7dbacked Yes | 49c | 51.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 58c | 51.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 48c | 49.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 46c | 43.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Watford FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.