Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16cc383d385dc5a4a086048f150afd6edd6d164c1802f409abd75f7988455643
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 23c | 2,358$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.77 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 46c | 779.08$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.38 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 61c | 531.15$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.08 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 46c | 520.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.65 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 50c | 459.47$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.91 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 65c | 412.32$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.6 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ba…a7c4backed Over | 52c | 348.65$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 46c | 346.15$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.23 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 38c | 333.14$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.34 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 50c | 299.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 25c | 235$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 234.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 23c | 179.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 37c | 175.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 53c | 172.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 27c | 147.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 133.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 46c | 116.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Under | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 21c | 94.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 38c | 84.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Under | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 55.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 49c | 51.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 42c | 47.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 42.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 35c | 32.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 37c | 27.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe32…960bbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)Viborg FF won
- Spread: Viborg FF (-1.5)Sønderjyske Fodbold won
- Spread: Viborg FF (-2.5)Sønderjyske Fodbold won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: O/U 0.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: Sønderjyske Fodbold O/U 2.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: Viborg FF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: Viborg FF O/U 1.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: Viborg FF O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.