Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Viborg FF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80414c93d6758185c7c96d2d20cfd696ada4dfcce19bc7009ac3d0d99955186d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sønderjyske Fodboldof Viborg FF, Sønderjyske Fodbold
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Viborg FF | 30c | 2,484$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.9 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b31…754abacked Viborg FF | 27c | 1,300$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 70c | 1,071$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.3 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 71c | 1,071$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.61 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 73c | 811.79$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.14 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 72c | 693.98$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.71 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 72c | 497.89$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.51 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Viborg FF | 26c | 426.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.79 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 73c | 117.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 73c | 92.42$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…7551backed Viborg FF | 27c | 85.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Viborg FF | 20c | 81.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 73c | 71.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 70c | 67.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Viborg FF | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Viborg FF | 30c | 39.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 71c | 16.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Viborg FF (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)Viborg FF won
- Spread: Viborg FF (-2.5)Sønderjyske Fodbold won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: O/U 0.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: Sønderjyske Fodbold O/U 2.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: Viborg FF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: Viborg FF O/U 1.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: Viborg FF O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.