Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Pyunik FA vs. Marsaxlokk FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2517b15914e5c140fe700eec3e0f6dea759108474bce75331fc1d85e2b21cda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 1c | 14,024$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…6732backed Yes | 4c | 2,290$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 1,738$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,258$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…036abacked Yes | 9c | 1,147$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 3c | 806.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 15c | 389.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 48c | 305$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 16c | 297$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 7c | 267.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 54c | 192.8$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 11c | 145$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 14c | 122.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…7ad0backed No | 54c | 66.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…0979backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…ea79backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…845fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 63c | 17.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pyunik FA vs. Marsaxlokk FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Marsaxlokk FC win on 2026-07-16?No won
- Will Pyunik FA win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.