World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff9786c8c7130010bdd1f2faae70cd1216727898ed7cbf5a147f07ba27673a0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 49c | 1,426$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.55 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Yes | 62c | 1,074$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.13 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 41c | 1,032$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.46 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 41c | 801.5$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.38 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7111…7c21backed Yes | 79c | 733.3$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 33c | 729.41$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.19 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 45c | 695.82$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.39 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed No | 9c | 597.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 43c | 531.09$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.66 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…f2a7backed Yes | 60c | 418.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 31c | 378.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 41c | 359.76$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.17 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 49c | 358.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.11 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 51c | 314.28$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 38c | 310.77$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.25 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…9c56backed Yes | 57c | 305.56$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 52c | 263.65$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 31c | 256.45$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 56c | 246$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 52c | 242$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.71 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 48c | 232.97$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed Yes | 48c | 232.03$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…a8edbacked Yes | 51c | 209.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.54 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbb…54e9backed Yes | 68c | 199.56$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 23c | 195.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…deb5backed Yes | 43c | 195$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…434fbacked Yes | 41c | 193.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 42c | 192.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5710…b854backed Yes | 55c | 187.48$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 31c | 182.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 33c | 181.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 45c | 181$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 57c | 180.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 52c | 168.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 44c | 157.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 47c | 151.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…d9b3backed Yes | 54c | 147.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…5f32backed Yes | 31c | 142.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 55c | 142.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Yes | 51c | 138.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 43c | 138$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 46c | 137.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 49c | 137.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed Yes | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…e0c1backed No | 40c | 124.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 28c | 121.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed No | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 50c | 119.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 57c | 118.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 21c | 116.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…00e4backed No | 49c | 111.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 55c | 101.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 44c | 101.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 56c | 100.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 48c | 100.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…8dc6backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1a…2987backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…e902backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…7023backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…ce8bbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d072backed Yes | 79c | 93.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…4be3backed Yes | 53c | 93.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 30c | 91.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…b55fbacked Yes | 75c | 89.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…a520backed Yes | 55c | 88.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 88.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 36c | 86.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…c133backed Yes | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 44c | 84.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1655…08e1backed No | 43c | 83.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 51c | 83.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…7a7dbacked Yes | 56c | 82.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yes | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 49c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…00a0backed No | 62c | 77.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 31c | 77.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…4f51backed No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -71%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 63c | 74.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 35c | 72.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 35c | 72.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked No | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 64c | 69.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 50c | 69.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebe…2c1dbacked Yes | 35c | 68.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…a526backed Yes | 73c | 65.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked No | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 49c | 61.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 68c | 61.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…1621backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 50c | 59.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 46c | 58.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.