World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44778a90b9f500161c9a3cc737c7b4e8d0c3ffd3c11326e555f24e0999f62bae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 30c | 1,491$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.23 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 71c | 992.35$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.41 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 9c | 727.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 18c | 717.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 67c | 680.11$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.15 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 70c | 330.7$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 15c | 323.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…9365backed Yes | 16c | 313.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 15c | 304.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…09b8backed Yes | 62c | 276.02$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.59 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbec…808bbacked Yes | 24c | 266.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 261$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…a8edbacked Yes | 44c | 257.95$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 18c | 246.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3848backed Yes | 17c | 237.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Yes | 20c | 213.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 180.97$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 80c | 180.29$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 20c | 153.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 31c | 148.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 48c | 147.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed Yes | 17c | 140.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9157backed Yes | 23c | 137.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 77c | 137.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…4c1ebacked No | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 79cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…00a0backed Yes | 14c | 118.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 80c | 112.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 22c | 107.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 11c | 102$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…6eafbacked Yes | 15c | 101.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 31c | 100.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…52f2backed No | 78c | 98.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked Yes | 60c | 92.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 15c | 86.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6882backed Yes | 40c | 82.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 31c | 78.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed Yes | 35c | 77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 79c | 76.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 19c | 74.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 76c | 71.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 24c | 71.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 16c | 70.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 75c | 70.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 25c | 66.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 30c | 64.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 21c | 64.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 61.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 19c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed No | 75c | 59.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 39c | 59.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ca…d665backed Yes | 29c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 63c | 55.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…a422backed No | 62c | 54.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 46c | 54.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…bc44backed Yes | 69c | 50.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…e5d7backed Yes | 60c | 48.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 76c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 186 | 69.4%129 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed Yes | 32c | 43.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 70c | 42.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 66c | 37.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…d7ebbacked No | 53c | 37.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed Yes | 54c | 34.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 60c | 34.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 79c | 31.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…268abacked Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…08e0backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 51c | 29.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 39c | 27.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 46c | 26.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 73c | 26.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed No | 80c | 26.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 60c | 20.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3466…6db5backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…871ebacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0a…65abbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 77cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 76c | 19.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 75c | 17.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 75c | 16.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…0be5backed No | 74c | 14.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…e92abacked No | 75c | 13.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.