World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cdfa28df3ba8ee7e1f5e89e0cda2f93ecec4fe8b9390af69efbac446f1e7720
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 24c | 826.58$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.21 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed Yes | 19c | 710$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 628.36$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.62 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Yes | 35c | 562.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 429.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 22c | 400.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 13c | 378.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…a8edbacked Yes | 35c | 342.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.62 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 70c | 339$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 9c | 289.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked No | 72c | 260.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed Yes | 26c | 234.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 32c | 217.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…0003backed Yes | 13c | 216.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 66c | 209$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 24c | 204$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 80c | 187.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 75c | 183$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 70c | 170$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 33c | 169.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…4346backed Yes | 12c | 162.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…c595backed Yes | 16c | 157.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 68c | 149.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 35c | 147.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 146.74$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 70c | 143.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 25c | 138$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 77c | 128.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…add8backed No | 80c | 126.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 72c | 119.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 24c | 117.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 13c | 108.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5710…b854backed Yes | 28c | 106.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 25c | 106$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 30c | 101.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…50c3backed Yes | 25c | 99.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 76c | 96.41$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd73…3cc0backed Yes | 25c | 95.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 80c | 94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…76dfbacked No | 67c | 93.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 88.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed No | 70c | 83.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 83.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 75c | 82.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 16c | 79.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 26c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…4127backed No | 71c | 69.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…daeebacked No | 73c | 69.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 33c | 69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…e97abacked Yes | 29c | 68.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 30c | 65.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…3db1backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 26c | 59.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 74c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 186 | 69.4%129 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 29c | 52.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…3017backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…5b62backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 26c | 47.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 28c | 46.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 74c | 44.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…8798backed No | 79c | 44.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffe…e48bbacked Yes | 28c | 38.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 34c | 36.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed No | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 71c | 31.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 76c | 26.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…c6bebacked No | 72c | 25.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 77c | 21.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3466…6db5backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 75c | 18.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…b105backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…1621backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 58 | 81%47 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 75 | 82.7%62 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.