Champions League · resolved market
Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9669a05051942b1789b45b34084bcce0c6b30621d61f525092a5dde2efa40466
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 46c | 10,869$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.95 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 7,306$4,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.21 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 69c | 6,170$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.59 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 54c | 4,452$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.3 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Under | 71c | 2,156$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.56 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 31c | 1,612$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.72 | 404 | 50.7%205 W · 199 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 31c | 1,612$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.72 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 32c | 1,612$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.33 | 611 | 48.3%295 W · 316 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 38c | 1,330$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.19 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 32c | 1,137$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.35 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…6732backed Under | 73c | 907.07$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 39c | 760.92$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.88 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 26c | 465.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 60c | 448.87$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 61c | 436.69$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.35 | 315 | 56.5%178 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Over | 10c | 344.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 25c | 306.64$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Over | 45c | 299.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 31c | 285.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…e0ccbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 6c | 254.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 214 | 16.8%36 W · 178 L | -38.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 46c | 253.54$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Under | 76c | 253.51$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 56c | 232.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 247 | 52.2%129 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…72a0backed Over | 29c | 212.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 23c | 197.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 54c | 181.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 143.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 59c | 125$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 31c | 106$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 54c | 104.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 47c | 103.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 54c | 98.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 54c | 94.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 54c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 16c | 79.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Over | 29c | 76.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 59c | 76.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 60c | 74.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 46c | 73.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 54c | 68.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 59c | 65.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 16c | 63.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 195 | 35.9%70 W · 125 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 78c | 61.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 23c | 46.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Under | 66c | 45.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 27c | 43.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 68c | 37.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 369 | 42.5%157 W · 212 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 54c | 33.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 73c | 32.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 55c | 28.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 55c | 27.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…f11dbacked Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 75c | 25.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 3.5this page
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Ararat-Armenia FA O/U 0.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)Ararat-Armenia FA won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-2.5)Ararat-Armenia FA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.