Champions League · resolved market
Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a05ff4402cfbdcc9327f5e516ff43fb6e4470fa516f11d10d2f6dcf1951cc9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 26c | 714.28$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.57 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 37c | 606.67$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.1 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 46c | 508.59$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 490.76$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.36 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 54c | 365.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 50c | 283.93$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.32 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 34c | 138.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 51c | 107.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 51c | 81.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 52c | 61.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 50c | 59.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 57.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 49c | 52.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 67c | 50.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 54c | 35.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 68c | 25.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 49c | 24.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Ararat-Armenia FA O/U 0.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)Ararat-Armenia FA won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-2.5)Ararat-Armenia FA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.