Champions League · resolved market
Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6a266eefdb47b5942ffc451a80941a4239bc8968e121b30f05bf212fb9c268a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 4,750$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.86 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 2,839$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.23 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 2,597$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.17 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 67c | 1,277$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.62 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 40c | 1,190$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 1,020$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.24 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 53c | 943$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.21 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 53c | 943$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.21 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 54c | 942.99$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.96 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 54c | 929.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 30c | 851.54$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 38c | 849.5$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.81 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over | 65c | 840$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 46c | 763.13$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.04 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 64c | 745.36$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.33 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 539.08$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.37 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 63c | 506.1$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.79 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…e0ccbacked Under | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 53c | 450$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 368.75$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 65c | 365.83$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.76 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 37c | 327.45$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.11 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 287.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 65c | 282.05$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.25 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 62c | 234.3$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 210.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 53c | 192.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.12 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 53c | 141$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 45c | 125.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 45c | 119.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11bb…24e5backed Over | 30c | 98.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +230.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 48c | 94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 52c | 88.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 62c | 79.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 78.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 61c | 77.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 62c | 68.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 53c | 57.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 53c | 57.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 54c | 50.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 52c | 31.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Over | 65c | 30.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 51c | 30.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 46c | 27.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 54c | 25.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…d230backed Under | 51c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 52c | 20.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 2.5this page
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Ararat-Armenia FA O/U 0.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)Ararat-Armenia FA won
- Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-2.5)Ararat-Armenia FA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.