Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1e595e219b4a6dcf576cc6dae627d4cc0e6a8d17b65ec2c66616ca0353e5a47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 5c | 828.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 759.21$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 6c | 400.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Yes | 26c | 384.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 24c | 217$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 207.12$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 75c | 197$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 26c | 164$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 11c | 158.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…e535backed No | 75c | 124$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 12c | 90.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 25c | 52.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will HNK Hajduk Split vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa end in a draw?Yes won
- Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.