Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3ac20c6ea598d0dc7a3f5e36bfe2126ccb8251f3b8c437e0b18b822c0e07e80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2583…3675backed Yes | 46c | 3,856$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 2,305$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.5 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 2,268$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.93 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 1,676$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.22 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed No | 54c | 1,198$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 35c | 1,130$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.91 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes | 76c | 1,099$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 60c | 717$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.89 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 48c | 711.4$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.47 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…5076backed Yes | 46c | 624.83$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.42 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 79c | 600$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 48c | 593$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.61 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 554.9$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 47c | 549.18$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.12 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 62c | 385$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.83 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 45c | 263.53$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.08 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…f104backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 195.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…481bbacked Yes | 76c | 176.32$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 47c | 168$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 28c | 155.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…8645backed No | 29c | 145.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 52c | 134.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 25c | 116.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 52c | 107.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 27c | 106.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…79c7backed Yes | 48c | 101.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 52c | 93.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed No | 27c | 88.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 52c | 86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 82.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Yes | 27c | 78.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 53c | 71.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked No | 17c | 69.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed No | 53c | 68.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 65.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 53c | 64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 74c | 62.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…5ab8backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -6.7wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 60.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 49c | 59.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 74c | 55.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 74c | 55.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 39c | 48.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 39c | 44.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 67c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 72c | 35.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 32.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 52c | 32.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…b507backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 53c | 30.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 68c | 26.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307b…5d8bbacked Yes | 46c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 73c | 22.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 54c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed No | 66c | 20.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 75c | 17.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will HNK Hajduk Split vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa end in a draw?Yes won
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.