South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Huracán vs. CA Banfield: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x583dd45d0da6d78d3ca9b3299474b24807c8a29a4bdfd1080ed2d8cd67d5f083
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 7,955$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 59c | 7,000$4,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,589$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 3,465$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 68c | 2,364$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.24 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…0f5abacked Over | 70c | 1,801$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 34c | 988.81$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.08 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 27c | 808.39$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.09 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 23c | 731.8$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.74 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 32c | 642.14$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.48 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Over | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under | 26c | 583.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 73c | 410.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 74c | 390.83$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 77c | 388.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 13c | 352.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 28c | 335.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 74c | 304.02$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 30c | 289.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 78c | 222.04$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 31c | 210.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 37c | 196.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under | 31c | 144.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 34c | 136.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 42c | 135.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed Under | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6044…f1d0backed Over | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 77c | 92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 63c | 80.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6baa…0276backed Under | 29c | 75.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 31c | 70.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 34c | 52.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 20c | 52.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 74c | 48.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 72c | 47.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Under | 37c | 44.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 43c | 43.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Over | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…13cebacked Over | 78c | 25.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 68c | 24.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 71c | 24.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Over | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…f26ebacked Over | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Huracán vs. CA Banfield: O/U 0.5this page
- CA Huracán vs. CA Banfield: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Banfield: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Banfield: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Banfield: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Banfield: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Banfield: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-1.5)CA Huracán won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)CA Banfield won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-2.5)CA Banfield won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.