TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,558 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1df2…89a0backed No29c4,464$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.8817513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4550…f741backed Yes31c2,581$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.653125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes50c2,445$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.273,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c2,033$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.572,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Yes25c1,235$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.9634964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c834.71$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.193,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes31c826.2$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.24641.3%19 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf924…a0ccbacked Yes67c675$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes56c503.02$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.6911561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c483.46$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.5976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes40c453.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.184,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c421.9$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.113,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No46c414.35$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.734330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2044440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes74c366.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9940145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes73c341.01$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.168445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No40c334.17$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7151429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5851429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked No70c299.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9816937.3%63 W · 106 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No70c292.43$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.71,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No71c268.62$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.993,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c235.44$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.224,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No40c209.95$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6671939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes31c204.84$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.3410525.7%27 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9214146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No73c190.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.691,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c190$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.155045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No12c188.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x86f3…7596backed No32c173.55$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.237047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2917835.4%63 W · 115 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No74c154.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8719939.7%79 W · 120 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes72c145.6$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7722466.1%148 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No19c128.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3537644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes60c118.07$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5793542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes30c117.93$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5541451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No33c109.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.052,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No48c101$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.31,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.625954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7518038.3%69 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes51c97.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.469744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed No71c84.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013865.2%90 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No34c81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.272,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No71c78.84$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.612,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No31c64.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7944435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes30c56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.222836.4%83 W · 145 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed No42c55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2324533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes24c54.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.175442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No75c53.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1190840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.584844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a90…946abacked Yes61c49.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.353063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad63…c264backed Yes52c48.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.183145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked No78c48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4415059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x315b…d386backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4619225%48 W · 144 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4617851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Yes52c38.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.563672.2%26 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d07…e75dbacked Yes62c32.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.521361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38be…5b1abacked Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.263073.3%22 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes61c32.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6115445.5%70 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8bf…db0abacked Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No70c31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6386656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No52c29.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.447055.7%39 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No65c27.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1951458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x551e…a3f4backed Yes76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.322556%14 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No61c25.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3619356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed No61c25.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.368453.6%45 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+45.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked No61c25.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3612156.2%68 W · 53 L+19.7wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed No61c25.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.369862.2%61 W · 37 L+20.5wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+56.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed No61c25.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3613158.8%77 W · 54 L+26.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+82.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked No61c25.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3611360.2%68 W · 45 L+22.2wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+63.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed No61c25.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3610761.7%66 W · 41 L+20.4wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+66.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No61c25.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3614260.6%86 W · 56 L+25.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+49.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No70c24.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4423552.8%124 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ce…41acbacked No42c24.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.243265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed No64c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4532959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No47c23.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.043412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x1928…1171backed Yes79c22.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick75cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked No69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.89854.1%53 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.619856.1%111 W · 87 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No69c19.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.351,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ac…c148backed No70c19.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d35…2fddbacked Yes76c18.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a7…b2efbacked No71c18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.787044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No69c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.430751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.