South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x966452f5195fc589813dfc6e28fbdf430a70a2693cfd8b51ebb2718e91e822fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 4c | 2,795$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.39 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 17c | 2,295$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.28 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…c71fbacked Under | 18c | 1,639$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 1,281$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Under | 79c | 1,169$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Under | 77c | 1,102$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.02 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e7…5124backed Under | 18c | 1,093$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 1c | 1,011$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 43c | 986.24$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.86 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…80cebacked Under | 18c | 976.97$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 12c | 944.74$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.26 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +10.8wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Under | 18c | 819.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 747.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.46 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 27c | 675$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.75 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 17c | 627.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.39 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…070dbacked Under | 21c | 571.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 14c | 554.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.99 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 40c | 509.03$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.42 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 59c | 490$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.25 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 73c | 482.8$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.44 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 28c | 469.02$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.14 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…dc76backed Under | 18c | 437.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…b271backed Over | 11c | 436.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 23c | 435$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.95 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 10c | 413.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 24c | 378.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.58 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 12c | 317.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.39 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 21c | 310$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.49 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 76c | 236.82$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 27c | 235.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.46 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Under | 79c | 152.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 55c | 142.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Over | 11c | 126.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 29c | 117.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 112$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 9c | 106.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 73c | 95.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 21c | 93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 13c | 88.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked Under | 53c | 77.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 27c | 72.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 71c | 59.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 32c | 56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 71c | 47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 75c | 46.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 30c | 39.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…bcb1backed Over | 34c | 37.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Under | 78c | 25.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 69c | 17.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: Club Tijuana O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 5.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: Tigres de la UANL O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: Tigres de la UANL O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-2.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.