South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca786fa0063e7ab92366e6d4a906fa3469a8a78048fb4e2dfc06b4b9d50453d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 2,360$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.65 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 25c | 2,229$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.96 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Under | 20c | 1,634$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.58 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 70c | 1,571$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 1,165$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.82 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Over | 76c | 1,060$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 73c | 998.41$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.74 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 76c | 871$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.04 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 31c | 667$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.57 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 460.71$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 74c | 403.7$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e97…8908backed Under | 26c | 372.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 80c | 299.7$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 80c | 239.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 71c | 230$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 57c | 143.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 80c | 137.35$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 80c | 133$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 29c | 120.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Under | 31c | 114.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…a582backed Over | 78c | 106.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 78c | 103.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 26c | 90.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…da2fbacked Under | 37c | 86.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 28c | 69.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 69c | 43.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 72c | 27.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 80c | 25.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 61c | 22.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…6be7backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8148…cc31backed Over | 77c | 20.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 80c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Over | 75c | 13.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…26edbacked Over | 75c | 13.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: Club Tijuana O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 5.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: Tigres de la UANL O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: Tigres de la UANL O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-2.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.