Tennis · resolved market
New Delhi: Dane Sweeny vs Beibit Zhukayev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x306944b177ca2a2a107931ee05ad7f9543e963fee746f1bb4383381dfba71eb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhukayevof Sweeny, Zhukayev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sweeny | 60c | 7,133$4,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.94 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zhukayev | 28c | 4,274$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sweeny | 43c | 3,634$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.07 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Zhukayev | 33c | 2,295$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.63 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Zhukayev | 28c | 1,610$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.37 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sweeny | 15c | 1,565$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.81 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Sweeny | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Sweeny | 68c | 1,000$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Sweeny | 15c | 849.78$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.81 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Sweeny | 69c | 666.51$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.14 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sweeny | 40c | 628.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.55 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zhukayev | 32c | 599.98$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.77 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Zhukayev | 35c | 560.54$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.35 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Zhukayev | 16c | 460.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.17 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Sweeny | 59c | 447.87$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Zhukayev | 33c | 439.18$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.18 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Sweeny | 73c | 423.22$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.95 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…dd64backed Sweeny | 80c | 360$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Sweeny | 70c | 345.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.28 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Sweeny | 20c | 334.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sweeny | 60c | 320.84$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.67 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…d1e7backed Sweeny | 69c | 291.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Zhukayev | 48c | 271.25$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Zhukayev | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Zhukayev | 35c | 252.23$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.81 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zhukayev | 32c | 232.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.8 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Sweeny | 11c | 194.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zhukayev | 51c | 185.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Sweeny | 67c | 150.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Sweeny | 67c | 149.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Zhukayev | 76c | 130.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Sweeny | 29c | 129.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Zhukayev | 28c | 108$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +85%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Zhukayev | 30c | 100.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sweeny | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Zhukayev | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Sweeny | 67c | 99.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…3ed4backed Zhukayev | 25c | 97.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sweeny | 66c | 84.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Zhukayev | 35c | 71.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zhukayev | 33c | 69.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Sweeny | 76c | 65.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Zhukayev | 30c | 64.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…b669backed Sweeny | 33c | 61.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Sweeny | 67c | 60.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Zhukayev | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…ae11backed Sweeny | 68c | 59.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Zhukayev | 63c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Sweeny | 60c | 53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Sweeny | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Zhukayev | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Zhukayev | 24c | 43.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sweeny | 65c | 41.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Sweeny | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…f53abacked Sweeny | 68c | 38.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Zhukayev | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Sweeny | 67c | 35.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Sweeny | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Sweeny | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Sweeny | 74c | 30.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Zhukayev | 42c | 29.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Sweeny | 62c | 27.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sweeny | 45c | 26.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sweeny | 68c | 25.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed Sweeny | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Sweeny | 73c | 20.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…0bb0backed Sweeny | 65c | 20.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Sweeny | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Sweeny | 64c | 19.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sweeny | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Sweeny | 71c | 14.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.