Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Telstar 1963 vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf98927e474fd375e39cae3803b89e67a61bfa11bcd8d3938085c65f96cbc117
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 4,477$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.64 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 22c | 3,715$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.34 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes | 21c | 3,331$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 29c | 2,584$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.69 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 72c | 1,855$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.68 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 77c | 1,254$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.7 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 23c | 1,033$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.73 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 40c | 1,025$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.93 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 936.52$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.62 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 833.97$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.98 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 66c | 757.17$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.73 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 727.62$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.78 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 681.02$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.81 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 45c | 578.72$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.31 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 400$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 348.03$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.15 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 79c | 316.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.67 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 297.68$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.63 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…0720backed Yes | 70c | 236.15$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 30c | 167$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 79c | 150$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 79c | 135$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 55c | 133.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 38c | 123$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 79c | 115$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 79c | 112$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 26c | 110$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 79c | 90$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 79c | 90$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Yes | 69c | 86.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 30c | 66.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 22c | 59.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 37c | 57.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 42.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 39.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 79c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 75c | 31.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 26.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +6.1wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Telstar 1963 vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.