Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2124337138241b6163c7b73beea855bb27f7721d2e791a79b260c36a944f5df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 14c | 13,565$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.76 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 3,026$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 54c | 2,700$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 2,343$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.54 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 1,938$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.66 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 1,634$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 43c | 1,250$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.5 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,223$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 38c | 1,048$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.08 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 17c | 765.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 62c | 561.25$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.66 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 6c | 335.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…cc19backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 48c | 324$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 57c | 300$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked Yes | 14c | 201.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +235.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Yes | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb78…e7c8backed Yes | 42c | 178.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 149.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed No | 40c | 142.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 14c | 138.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 64c | 130.15$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Yes | 15c | 122.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed No | 53c | 109.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 62c | 103.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 14c | 91.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 90.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…d25abacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 75.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed No | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9864…b2ebbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 45c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 49.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 42c | 47.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes | 43c | 46.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 48c | 45.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 64c | 43.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 45c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 39c | 41.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 57c | 35.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 61c | 30.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.