TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

IU Indy Jaguars vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsof IU Indy Jaguars, Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,032
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,032 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa0b…9672backed IU Indy Jaguars23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1508517.6%15 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons77c4,776$3,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.621,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons77c4,683$3,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.6937947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed IU Indy Jaguars35c3,261$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.6146446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons51c2,954$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.6522043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons70c2,720$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8175,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons66c1,990$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.531,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked IU Indy Jaguars27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons73c1,840$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.5512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked IU Indy Jaguars28c1,448$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.321,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked IU Indy Jaguars23c1,417$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.882,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked IU Indy Jaguars23c1,383$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.186248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked IU Indy Jaguars20c1,147$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.411,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked IU Indy Jaguars27c1,097$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed IU Indy Jaguars2c1,006$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201363.7%5 W · 131 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked IU Indy Jaguars3c833.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258347%39 W · 44 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed IU Indy Jaguars23c779.64$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3599045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed IU Indy Jaguars48c727.9$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.362,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed IU Indy Jaguars21c611.18$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.932,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons76c523.72$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6937142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked IU Indy Jaguars27c501$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.271,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d83…8eb4backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons74c485.06$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.423770.3%26 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed IU Indy Jaguars53c379.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed IU Indy Jaguars26c367$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3322050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked IU Indy Jaguars11c343.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.074,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons76c302.8$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.963,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed IU Indy Jaguars44c240$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10648051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons76c233.33$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed IU Indy Jaguars25c209.68$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7168254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked IU Indy Jaguars25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010736.4%39 W · 68 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6900…9a4bbacked IU Indy Jaguars24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481450%7 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce0…ff19backed IU Indy Jaguars24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked IU Indy Jaguars24c199.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked IU Indy Jaguars37c159.66$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.491,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed IU Indy Jaguars26c157.73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.533138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons73c136.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.984,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.149769.1%67 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons76c131.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.989470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed IU Indy Jaguars23c127.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8818230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed IU Indy Jaguars19c115.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.441,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons75c110.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7943053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons56c110.94$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.661,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked IU Indy Jaguars27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8236…6479backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcac6…5995backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+85.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa341…0aeabacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb80d…0f4ebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons73c96.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.173,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed IU Indy Jaguars13c81.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.552,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed IU Indy Jaguars26c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.213845.7%63 W · 75 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6713561.5%83 W · 52 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ee6…8a9dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.792544%11 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8daa…1f41backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00b…fb3cbacked IU Indy Jaguars24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons66c58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.721,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons76c57.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.923363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed IU Indy Jaguars30c55.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.651,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons77c54.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.671,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed IU Indy Jaguars23c52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked IU Indy Jaguars28c51.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2622730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…3851backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons79c50.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.512839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2584854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed IU Indy Jaguars21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons74c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4460548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed IU Indy Jaguars25c41.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.299338.7%36 W · 57 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3a…b9d9backed IU Indy Jaguars25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ec…d0f5backed IU Indy Jaguars26c39.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.396025%15 W · 45 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed IU Indy Jaguars31c38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.785844.8%26 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd508…d9e3backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons75c34.36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons76c33.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1520248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons71c29.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.691,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons76c27.39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5742751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x726b…c72bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons74c26.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.783745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a3b…ea24backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4324…1390backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.686154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58549.4%42 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2f…362bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons75c13.64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.