TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Brasilia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Joao Eduardo Schiessl

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Adolfo Vallejoof Adolfo Vallejo, Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,778 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee67…67a6backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl0c8,800$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl8c4,441$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.668,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl4c4,313$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.742,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl7c3,142$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.581,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl7c2,820$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.96,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl8c2,237$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.423,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl7c1,688$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11571725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl9c1,685$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0237230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7fe…f111backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl12c1,603$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006963.8%44 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf945…7eb1backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl7c1,453$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.77439.3%4 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl11c1,426$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8697046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl11c1,317$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1934744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl9c1,038$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.291,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e00…028ebacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl10c999.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl11c935.2$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.545425.9%14 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl8c803.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.366,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl22c740$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6838460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe20…c1d8backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl12c580$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4573745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl16c569.95$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.511,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b0…02c6backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl5c497.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25807.5%6 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl10c463$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.310835.2%38 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc4…b0b5backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl10c416.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.622010%2 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl8c409$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7295140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl10c403.68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.494,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl13c400$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7399044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl7c351.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.714139%16 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cee…3f91backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl13c337.54$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.889824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl9c320$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7412952.7%68 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl10c299.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl8c254.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015512.9%20 W · 135 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl14c228.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.982516%4 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl15c214.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.251,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl6c188.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.086,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl10c170$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752457.4%301 W · 223 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f25…442cbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl13c169.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225928.8%17 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf583…5962backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl7c143.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3131…997ebacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl11c127.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.13425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl11c119$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.091,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl16c90.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.461,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Adolfo Vallejo20c80$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644045%18 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl17c65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.861,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.