Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Francisco Comesana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x469bebec3fdc7a162cb69defd9dba9db1da9c9bc9b580005150c993ce719ed4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Kordaof Sebastian Korda, Francisco Comesana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,099 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Francisco Comesana | 6c | 47,434$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.71 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Sebastian Korda | 73c | 12,500$9,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Francisco Comesana | 17c | 7,498$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.37 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Francisco Comesana | 13c | 6,154$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.77 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Francisco Comesana | 18c | 5,889$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Francisco Comesana | 6c | 5,515$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.33 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Francisco Comesana | 17c | 4,146$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.51 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Francisco Comesana | 17c | 2,431$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.2 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…c746backed Sebastian Korda | 78c | 2,337$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.73 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Francisco Comesana | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Francisco Comesana | 16c | 1,727$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.53 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Francisco Comesana | 21c | 1,593$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.5 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Francisco Comesana | 1c | 1,527$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Francisco Comesana | 17c | 1,427$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.13 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed Francisco Comesana | 17c | 1,250$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Francisco Comesana | 14c | 1,093$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Francisco Comesana | 18c | 1,080$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.56 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Francisco Comesana | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Francisco Comesana | 28c | 718.25$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Francisco Comesana | 18c | 649$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Francisco Comesana | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Francisco Comesana | 14c | 518.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Francisco Comesana | 16c | 500.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Francisco Comesana | 16c | 478.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Francisco Comesana | 14c | 420.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Francisco Comesana | 22c | 407.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Francisco Comesana | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b54…dbd2backed Francisco Comesana | 15c | 369.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Francisco Comesana | 17c | 334.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Francisco Comesana | 16c | 312$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Francisco Comesana | 9c | 304.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Francisco Comesana | 29c | 268.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Sebastian Korda | 79c | 265.2$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Sebastian Korda | 75c | 253.33$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Francisco Comesana | 25c | 253.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Francisco Comesana | 17c | 247$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Francisco Comesana | 22c | 245.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Sebastian Korda | 71c | 240$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Francisco Comesana | 20c | 214.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Francisco Comesana | 17c | 210.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Francisco Comesana | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Francisco Comesana | 7c | 162.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Francisco Comesana | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Francisco Comesana | 21c | 140.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Sebastian Korda | 72c | 131$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Francisco Comesana | 16c | 122$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Francisco Comesana | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Francisco Comesana | 20c | 113.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Francisco Comesana | 17c | 106.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Francisco Comesana | 17c | 103$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Francisco Comesana | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Sebastian Korda | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e53…f0dbbacked Francisco Comesana | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Francisco Comesana | 19c | 85.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…85debacked Francisco Comesana | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sebastian Korda | 79c | 74.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Francisco Comesana | 29c | 73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Francisco Comesana | 16c | 67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Francisco Comesana | 27c | 65.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Francisco Comesana | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8425…b8f9backed Francisco Comesana | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Francisco Comesana | 20c | 56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Francisco Comesana | 23c | 45.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Sebastian Korda | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 43 | 86%37 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Sebastian Korda | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sebastian Korda | 75c | 26.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Sebastian Korda | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Francisco Comesanathis page
- Korda vs. Comesana: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Korda vs ComesanaKorda won
- Set Handicap: Korda (-1.5) vs Comesana (+1.5)Korda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.