Tennis · resolved market
Brasilia: Facundo Acosta vs Luis Guto Miguel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x939a738661dc7b67efe547df7d0526d14e1564ea3319a08e6209e0fa709943ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Facundo Acostaof Facundo Acosta, Luis Guto Miguel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 13c | 7,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Luis Guto Miguel | 6c | 2,766$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed Luis Guto Miguel | 20c | 1,210$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.92 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Luis Guto Miguel | 14c | 1,145$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.81 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Luis Guto Miguel | 13c | 1,035$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Luis Guto Miguel | 20c | 931.46$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Luis Guto Miguel | 19c | 790.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Luis Guto Miguel | 18c | 720.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Luis Guto Miguel | 8c | 642.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…9058backed Luis Guto Miguel | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 20c | 494.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Luis Guto Miguel | 7c | 434.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 25c | 405.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 18c | 388.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Luis Guto Miguel | 12c | 366.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 10c | 330$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 16c | 328$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 37c | 316.37$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Luis Guto Miguel | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc4…b0b5backed Luis Guto Miguel | 20c | 311.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 35c | 289.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Luis Guto Miguel | 22c | 284.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Luis Guto Miguel | 15c | 238$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Facundo Acosta | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Facundo Acosta | 76c | 220.26$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Luis Guto Miguel | 7c | 199.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed Luis Guto Miguel | 20c | 180$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…4b96backed Facundo Acosta | 51c | 167.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Luis Guto Miguel | 22c | 163.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 20c | 162$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Luis Guto Miguel | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Facundo Acosta | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 275 | 66.5%183 W · 92 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Luis Guto Miguel | 19c | 146.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Luis Guto Miguel | 20c | 146$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Facundo Acosta | 75c | 142.63$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Facundo Acosta | 60c | 119.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Luis Guto Miguel | 27c | 117.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Luis Guto Miguel | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Facundo Acosta | 72c | 97.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Facundo Acosta | 79c | 95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Luis Guto Miguel | 18c | 90.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Facundo Acosta | 79c | 66.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…08abbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed Facundo Acosta | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +494.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Facundo Acosta | 80c | 28.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Facundo Acosta | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef1…518dbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 48c | 21.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Facundo Acosta | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…0cd0backed Facundo Acosta | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.