Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Jannik Sinner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdeaff667182810c6da8c0138ad95f9a50805de2da34fdd61e6ebceb6345f44b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jannik Sinnerof Denis Shapovalov, Jannik Sinner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $347,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,773 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Denis Shapovalov | 4c | 98,340$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.49 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 38,073$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.22 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 21,865$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.94 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 14,758$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.9 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 14,283$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.02 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 10,181$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.77 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 8,415$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.87 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Denis Shapovalov | 3c | 8,160$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.72 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Denis Shapovalov | 8c | 8,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Denis Shapovalov | 3c | 7,643$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.67 | 119 | 19.3%23 W · 96 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 7,349$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.47 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Denis Shapovalov | 2c | 6,508$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 6,458$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.47 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 9c | 5,314$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.01 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Denis Shapovalov | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 4,658$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.45 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Denis Shapovalov | 4c | 4,642$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Denis Shapovalov | 1c | 4,200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Denis Shapovalov | 14c | 3,496$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.67 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 3,355$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 2,641$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Denis Shapovalov | 7c | 2,408$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.1 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Denis Shapovalov | 1c | 2,178$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 2,135$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.08 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 2,015$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Denis Shapovalov | 7c | 1,922$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.88 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb2…8ad7backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 1,644$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 1,600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Denis Shapovalov | 1c | 1,574$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Denis Shapovalov | 8c | 1,317$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Denis Shapovalov | 4c | 1,182$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Denis Shapovalov | 7c | 943$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Denis Shapovalov | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…3e49backed Denis Shapovalov | 8c | 900$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 844.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…841dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Denis Shapovalov | 3c | 732.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f65…4875backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 694.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 665.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 650$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 628.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 620.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 565.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…d09bbacked Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 505.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Denis Shapovalov | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 490$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 462.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 440$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 430.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 405.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4c…08a3backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Denis Shapovalov | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Denis Shapovalov | 7c | 397.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 389.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 370$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Denis Shapovalov | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Denis Shapovalov | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Denis Shapovalov | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Denis Shapovalov | 12c | 238.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Denis Shapovalov | 7c | 235.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…8823backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 234.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 228.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…e3e3backed Denis Shapovalov | 14c | 227.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 216.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Denis Shapovalov | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f74…4fccbacked Denis Shapovalov | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…b4f9backed Denis Shapovalov | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 65.1%69 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Denis Shapovalov | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee69…2323backed Denis Shapovalov | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Denis Shapovalov | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Jannik Sinnerthis page
- Denis Shapovalov vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Shapovalov vs SinnerSinner won
- Shapovalov vs. Sinner: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.