Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Storm Hunter vs Belinda Bencic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2712fc61e44fbcbcd41528ccdde2370b5f7608c4abe9778ad1083525ac6258e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belinda Bencicof Storm Hunter, Belinda Bencic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,857 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Storm Hunter | 4c | 8,539$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.09 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Storm Hunter | 15c | 5,098$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.84 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Storm Hunter | 18c | 4,585$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.08 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Storm Hunter | 0c | 4,088$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Storm Hunter | 14c | 1,525$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.9 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Storm Hunter | 13c | 1,400$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Storm Hunter | 7c | 1,160$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed Storm Hunter | 13c | 987.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.44 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Storm Hunter | 14c | 718.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…b905backed Storm Hunter | 13c | 710$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Storm Hunter | 12c | 640.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Storm Hunter | 18c | 546.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Storm Hunter | 13c | 499.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…17fcbacked Storm Hunter | 13c | 490$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Storm Hunter | 13c | 438$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…5fecbacked Storm Hunter | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Storm Hunter | 13c | 277$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Storm Hunter | 14c | 272.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Storm Hunter | 13c | 239$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Storm Hunter | 13c | 234.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Storm Hunter | 13c | 200.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Storm Hunter | 14c | 183.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Storm Hunter | 17c | 175.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Storm Hunter | 14c | 174.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Storm Hunter | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 273 | 46.5%127 W · 146 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Storm Hunter | 19c | 59.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Storm Hunter | 20c | 50.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Storm Hunter vs Belinda Bencicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Hunter vs BencicBencic won
- Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Hunter (+1.5)Bencic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.