South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club de Montevideo win on 2026-03-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe37a5baa3ce38609ed15e4f506e76148584712d490dabd13b5e0d2e7349026f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,871 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 3,927$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.37 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 814.55$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 27c | 793.49$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.38 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 37c | 540.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 404.29$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.8 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 345.86$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 29c | 339.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 25c | 309.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 41c | 244.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 41c | 213.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked No | 76c | 164.94$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 30c | 76.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 61c | 67.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 42c | 66.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 66.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…8f3bbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 25cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 41c | 61.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 45.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 74c | 38.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…eff6backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 76c | 32.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 67c | 16.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club de Montevideo win on 2026-03-05?this page
- Will CA Boston River vs. Racing Club de Montevideo end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Boston River win on 2026-03-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.