Asian League · resolved market
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x005ef59274e5d4d69cfae36fb0b20bd4e96edb23e2880ef0b29c33fb8d65ac36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 6,269$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.65 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 56c | 5,944$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.67 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 37c | 4,340$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.06 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 2,902$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 60c | 2,399$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.32 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 55c | 2,348$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.36 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 68c | 2,313$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.38 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 2,194$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.86 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 1,697$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.38 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 1,569$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.93 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 68c | 1,504$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.04 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 1,379$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,200$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.59 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 75c | 930.16$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.24 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 868.64$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.51 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 27c | 589.59$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.19 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 556.59$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.28 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 502.5$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.52 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 42c | 420.54$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.13 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 419.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 30c | 385.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.87 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 76c | 360$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed No | 58c | 355.97$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 24c | 337$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 118 | 12.7%15 W · 103 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 45c | 251.71$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 32c | 242.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 216.56$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 174$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 25c | 139.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 70c | 138$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed No | 78c | 125.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…fa76backed Yes | 28c | 112$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 111.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Yes | 18c | 98.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 24c | 97.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 24c | 85.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 24c | 79.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 18c | 74.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed No | 76c | 67.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 76c | 65.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Yes | 42c | 65.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…b756backed Yes | 32c | 62.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 24c | 59.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 28c | 56.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 32c | 47.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 34c | 46.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 40c | 45.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe850…f826backed Yes | 28c | 43.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 64c | 42.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 38.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked No | 76c | 30.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 75c | 29.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 69c | 27.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed No | 75c | 24.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed No | 62c | 21.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 76c | 20.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…c338backed No | 73c | 19.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 18.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed No | 67c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-25?No won
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.