TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,438 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No59c34,023$20,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,072.45,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes40c14,615$5,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,746.622,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes39c13,455$5,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,220.922949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes38c8,665$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,414.874143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Yes24c5,858$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,458.285750.9%29 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+151%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c5,623$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,063.292,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed Yes42c4,727$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c4,093$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,080.711,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes22c4,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12024323%56 W · 187 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes43c3,065$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.118132.1%26 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Yes37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No58c2,975$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.696846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No78c1,746$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.5438849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c1,734$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.0539649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No66c1,691$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.23842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No60c1,609$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.6337153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked No60c1,530$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.776547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes24c1,200$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.165240.4%21 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Yes44c1,115$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.622934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No53c934.82$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.331,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes36c813.22$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.2310837%40 W · 68 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.479516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No8c780.66$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6314646.6%68 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Yes30c657.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.324254.8%23 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+119.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x93f1…be41backed Yes42c607.52$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.78742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Yes41c561.24$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.131947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Yes41c539.26$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.171963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+45.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2755444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No78c453.54$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.762,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes42c409.52$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.526036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No3c408$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.24345.9%2 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-92.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No66c383.93$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0314948.3%72 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes31c355.48$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.121,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Yes45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.332544%11 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+78.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes31c325$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.2524247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No26c320.09$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9324448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No60c305.71$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8831960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No74c279.74$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.016358.7%37 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No57c262.81$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.54266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Yes38c261.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.91827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes52c259.2$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2892835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No75c240$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18014752.4%77 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1305726.3%15 W · 42 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No65c186.73$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7423859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes36c168.21$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.212240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5451…1acbbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes43c151.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.392231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed No79c146.59$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.81366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick78cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes24c140$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.414446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No70c134.27$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.991,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No24c132.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3213654.4%74 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No72c128.43$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.11,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b0…af4abacked No79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed Yes41c121.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.551861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+43.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No60c121.41$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.916659.6%99 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No51c118.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.781,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked No66c114.44$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.393658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db6…fa76backed Yes24c112$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.722240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Yes38c102.63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No31c98.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.644152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes27c97.69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6677056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes64c88$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0428251.4%145 W · 137 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.453946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes43c77.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.36765.7%44 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No74c75.56$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.061,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes38c73.32$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4633452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes62c71.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9521574.4%160 W · 55 L+45.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No58c69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0213051.5%67 W · 63 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes31c67.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8511861.9%73 W · 45 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Yes37c65.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.418237.8%31 W · 51 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2217…b756backed Yes32c63.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.522445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2691…6c3cbacked No80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ecf…75d2backed No78c60.05$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.652846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes33c59.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2348768%331 W · 156 L+69.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes22c56.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.077853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5617630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes41c53.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0218646.2%86 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes74c52.56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.744763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed No64c52.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.41955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed Yes30c51.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.88875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+66.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.842625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bcf…04fcbacked No59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-40.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes23c47.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.351,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Yes42c47.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.431942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No30c43.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1130548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No63c41.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9114440.3%58 W · 86 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No78c39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3319556.9%111 W · 84 L+15.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Yes42c38.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.12352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes75c36.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1224548.6%119 W · 126 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes41c35.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8784347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf904…85ecbacked Yes44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.09714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c9b…b6d3backed No61c31.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes62c31.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.76841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No45c28.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.01886.8%6 W · 82 L-22.0wins-0.25per pick32cpaid-78%equal weight28-0.19 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes66c26.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1115160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No74c26.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.412542.4%53 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.