Champions League · resolved market
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fde75ac80e466e57cdc4cf2f1b00e74f37fa41568e578d2022f6f072a48f7c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 41c | 1,935$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 945.07$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.38 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Yes | 9c | 387.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +320.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 345.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.9 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 50c | 314$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 61c | 247.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.27 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Yes | 6c | 240$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 169$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes | 38c | 151.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed Yes | 12c | 138.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 59c | 128$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed Yes | 40c | 123.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 60c | 121.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 49c | 118$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 116.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 114$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 58c | 101$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 60c | 81.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…cdcbbacked Yes | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 39c | 73.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 60c | 55.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 39c | 52.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked No | 58c | 48.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 59c | 31.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 76c | 29.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 57c | 22.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…332ebacked Yes | 70c | 21.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Draw at halftime?this page
- Kuopion PS leading at halftime?No won
- Sabah FK leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.