Champions League · resolved market
Sabah FK leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56e9dcd32f7b07c1325d4acd5820a7ecf6857e245376e9155fa8a37721667d0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 46c | 2,147$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 1,205$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.04 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Yes | 49c | 1,102$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 54c | 931.72$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.13 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…e863backed Yes | 49c | 913.33$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 63c | 851.75$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.41 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 37c | 825.97$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 52c | 806$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.62 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed No | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked No | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 48c | 559.98$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.39 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 6c | 464.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 48c | 246.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.18 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 230.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 13c | 167$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 16c | 147.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 76c | 136$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 17c | 125.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 69c | 117.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 17c | 111.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 44.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked No | 51c | 35.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 76c | 31.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 48c | 30.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 27.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 57c | 27.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 55c | 21.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 61c | 19.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabah FK leading at halftime?this page
- Kuopion PS leading at halftime?No won
- Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.