Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5b3568d60ba1d2af9b29c183befbd86d5045c3f10176d0965f3fa56d4c1374d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 1,313$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.32 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed Yes | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 63c | 1,058$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.23 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 80c | 487.29$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.46 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 27c | 368.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.15 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 323.79$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.37 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 48c | 198.63$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 9c | 189.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.54 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 134.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 28c | 107.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 82.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 80c | 67.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 36c | 65.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 52.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 36c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 40c | 31.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 41c | 30.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 29.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 66c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…0ec9backed No | 74c | 26.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-04?No won
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.