Champions League · resolved market
Will FK Vardar Skopje vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d6497d8fbe8a1694c19146e1362b104ec833b37d10c96286046dcfcbb0d0a62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 4,569$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.25 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 3,688$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.57 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 12c | 1,800$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 28c | 1,120$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.47 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…b87fbacked Yes | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 467.42$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 27c | 399.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 28c | 370$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 342$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 341.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 74c | 312$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 72c | 257.75$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 221.55$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 202.94$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 181.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 69c | 178$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 28c | 153.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 133.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 25c | 121.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…3964backed Yes | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 105.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 72c | 102$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 76.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 26c | 71.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 62.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 60.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 28c | 50.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Yes | 28c | 48.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 28c | 40.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…c7efbacked No | 73c | 25.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked No | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 80c | 18.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Vardar Skopje vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-07?No won
- Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.