Asian League · resolved market
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5fac74cc07ac5fff0614d4d8529254fdfebd0284d42ec42ffcbfea0fcd9b0a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 24c | 7,493$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.35 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 6,804$5,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.94 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.77 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 12c | 999.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 587.64$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.9 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No | 73c | 537.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 484$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 11c | 461.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 407.44$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.04 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 26c | 399.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes | 27c | 350.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 283.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed No | 75c | 266$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 27c | 255.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 75c | 242.62$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 221.54$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 25c | 182.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 13c | 173.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed Yes | 8c | 153.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 10c | 152.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 20c | 148$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed Yes | 30c | 111.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 99.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 24c | 97.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 26c | 97.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 73c | 85.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Yes | 18c | 81.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…8339backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…679dbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…0c9bbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 69c | 63.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 63.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…4623backed Yes | 27c | 62.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 32c | 55.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 29c | 43.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 74c | 42.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 75c | 42.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 72c | 27.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ad…922bbacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed No | 78c | 19.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7778…261dbacked No | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 75c | 15.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-06-28?No won
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-06-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.