Mls · resolved market
Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73490e2b7beb0f54b29abbcc990ca7303f7dbb9e3f5ba6a7ebe75780a246276b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed No | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.8 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 2,697$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.55 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 61c | 1,255$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.96 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 39c | 673.15$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.36 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 39c | 350$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 67c | 151.81$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 55c | 137.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed No | 13c | 132.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 55c | 119$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 43c | 103.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…ef21backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 63c | 86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 40c | 83.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 35c | 82.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 71.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 40c | 69.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 38c | 49.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 62c | 44.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 45c | 43.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 40c | 37.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Yes | 55c | 29.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 47c | 28.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Yes | 53c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…9426backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: D.C. United SC (-1.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Spread: D.C. United SC (-2.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)D.C. United SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.