Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e0fca9d3894c570672b09e2a5bbba3f23e17d43cc2cd8c71ff5f2e6e0fdbdbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked Yes | 1c | 4,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Yes | 1c | 2,400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 1,807$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.3 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 1,418$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.93 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 1,023$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.85 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 31c | 564.94$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.15 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 29c | 514.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.65 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 6c | 243$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 240.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 79c | 147.41$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 21c | 118.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 89.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…3964backed Yes | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Yes | 19c | 52.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 30.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 30 | 90%27 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 79cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 77c | 22.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Dynama-Minsk vs. FK Sileks end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-09?No won
- Will FK Sileks win on 2026-07-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.