Champions League · resolved market
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x146c084de00ff1792e293bb3c899b40813ffcfb2ac090408fde171301a083b20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a6d…33e2backed No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 3,051$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.88 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 1,535$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.72 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 1,505$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.73 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 15c | 1,254$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.82 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked No | 1c | 1,126$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 1,063$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.98 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 1,001$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.93 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 28c | 799.89$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.92 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 42c | 695.2$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.22 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 70c | 661.44$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.28 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 70c | 623.56$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.53 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 33c | 584$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Yes | 14c | 571.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.1 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +7.6wins | +0.40per pick | 44cpaid | +136%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 27c | 472.25$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.98 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 72c | 373.79$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.13 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 342$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 342$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 342$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked No | 60c | 318.75$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 12c | 275.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 57c | 259.87$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 13c | 248$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.76 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 33c | 225.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 177.01$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.78 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 71c | 157.45$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 19c | 156.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 27c | 153.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 31c | 150.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…a442backed Yes | 29c | 150$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 72c | 137.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 134.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 26c | 129$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 10c | 107$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 97.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 29c | 97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 27c | 77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 28c | 65.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 60.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed No | 71c | 60.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…3964backed Yes | 26c | 47.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 35c | 34.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 17.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-07?No won
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.