Champions League · resolved market
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b41f461febeaf0fc141ffcbfa08d1f0a37162769b60efc09d177c36ed0a805e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 55c | 5,844$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.83 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,734$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.06 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 45c | 2,093$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.51 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 80c | 1,944$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 1,921$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.49 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 13c | 1,518$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.12 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.98 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 51c | 1,179$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.05 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 46c | 1,092$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.02 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed No | 47c | 1,090$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.7 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 1,078$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.9 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…42a5backed Yes | 52c | 837.48$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 56c | 798.86$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.43 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed No | 13c | 785$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.95 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +7.6wins | +0.40per pick | 44cpaid | +136%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed No | 13c | 785$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.58 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +209.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 50c | 701.45$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.93 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 581.58$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.35 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 48c | 499.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 63c | 343.64$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.31 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 15c | 336.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.77 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 47c | 325.36$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.44 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cf…5507backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed Yes | 52c | 280$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 14c | 232.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…e1b9backed Yes | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 48c | 174.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 48c | 160.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 15c | 153$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.63 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 55c | 152.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 47c | 149$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 53c | 135.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 14c | 132$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 21c | 114.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 52c | 112.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 11c | 102.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb6…f3fabacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 19.7%24 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed No | 45c | 87.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 43c | 86.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 48c | 70.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 17c | 68.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 61.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…c7e1backed No | 17c | 61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked No | 36c | 61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 52c | 55.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes | 79c | 54.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…6e1ebacked Yes | 54c | 44.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed No | 49c | 43.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked No | 45c | 36.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yes | 49c | 32.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No | 49c | 30.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.1wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 73c | 26.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 52c | 20.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 58c | 19.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 55c | 18.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-07?this page
- Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-07?No won
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.