Champions League · resolved market
FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3eff7e69b693a861fb3889f603bc2b91368daba8292af7fe82b3c422b5bcada
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 77c | 5,396$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150.92 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Under | 2c | 4,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Under | 2c | 4,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 18c | 2,661$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.25 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…4cb9backed Under | 1c | 2,400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Under | 2c | 2,139$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 1,891$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.56 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 70c | 1,612$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.11 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 10c | 1,530$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…100cbacked Under | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 17c | 1,218$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.71 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 11c | 1,200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Under | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 54c | 583.19$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.04 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 22c | 446.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.47 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 28c | 405.08$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 58c | 332.95$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 26c | 332.27$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 9c | 300$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 42c | 233.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 11c | 227.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.26 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 78c | 216.1$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.06 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Over | 48c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 73c | 194.63$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 9c | 136.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Under | 23c | 123.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…1e34backed Over | 61c | 118.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Over | 23c | 95.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 41c | 94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Under | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 77c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 38c | 46.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 71c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Under | 79c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 79c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 79c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FC Drita 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FC Drita O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FC Drita O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Drita (-1.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
- Spread: FC Drita (-2.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-1.5)FC Drita won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-2.5)FC Drita won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.