Champions League · resolved market
FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x668f3e61ecee0970e55787108437d69cb5fee4d19ec57228eb081e82f2a6509f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 56c | 1,451$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.1 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed Under | 54c | 1,014$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 12c | 916.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 65c | 862.63$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.59 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Under | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 37c | 719.75$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.71 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…2f6abacked Under | 60c | 630.02$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 41c | 612$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.52 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Over | 46c | 601$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 558.84$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Under | 25c | 399.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 370.32$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.7 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 43c | 300.72$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.15 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…9343backed Under | 49c | 243.8$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 199.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 52c | 196.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 195.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…7035backed Over | 74c | 158.11$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 58c | 144.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 41c | 131.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 125.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 79c | 116.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 72c | 100.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 43c | 98.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 37c | 89.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 46c | 78.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 32c | 77.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 45c | 76.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 52c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 41c | 73.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 57.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 77c | 56.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +12.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 70c | 55.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 50c | 49.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 33c | 47.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 51c | 45.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 41c | 45.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 45c | 44.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Over | 41c | 44.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 59c | 42.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 41c | 41.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 42c | 41.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 72c | 41.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 43c | 38.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 40c | 35.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Under | 60c | 32.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 43c | 30.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 50c | 27.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Over | 46c | 26.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…5d80backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…91b2backed Over | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FC Drita 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FC Drita O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FC Drita O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Drita (-1.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
- Spread: FC Drita (-2.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-1.5)FC Drita won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-2.5)FC Drita won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.