TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,138 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under35c1,574$550 inLost-$549.6937649.5%186 W · 190 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over65c1,008$655 inWon+$352.9336142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…7e92backed Under3c599.99$18 inLost-$181729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Under6c287.17$17 inLost-$17.2350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under10c240$25 inLost-$24.81020%2 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+71.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over65c232.14$151 inWon+$81.2529949.5%148 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over65c84.56$55 inWon+$29.663346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over65c74.72$49 inWon+$26.1527031.5%85 W · 185 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over70c71.65$50 inWon+$21.652955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under35c49.99$17 inLost-$17.538142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under31c43$13 inLost-$13.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over67c39$26 inWon+$12.9265050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Over69c37.14$26 inWon+$11.423246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over66c16$11 inWon+$5.4452046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.