TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,388

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,849 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under24c2,092$498 inLost-$497.686134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd273…17eabacked Over77c674.58$516 inWon+$158.332846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over75c420$316 inWon+$104.2560136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under72c349$251 inLost-$251.2843252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over76c289$220 inWon+$69.3618736.4%68 W · 119 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over28c207.14$58 inWon+$149.142236.4%8 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+50.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over58c200.45$116 inWon+$84.42147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+71%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c179.45$75 inLost-$75.371,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over76c130.44$100 inWon+$30.9417443.7%76 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Under17c117.63$20 inLost-$203026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over28c98$27 inWon+$70.5611937.8%45 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over32c73.53$24 inWon+$5022552%117 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under68c73.53$50 inLost-$502955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over28c62.21$17 inWon+$44.9138142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under72c50$36 inLost-$361,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over28c43.86$12 inWon+$31.5888631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over30c42.11$13 inWon+$29.5763346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cdb…4cc2backed Under70c26$18 inLost-$18.220%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under70c22.84$16 inLost-$15.993246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.