Champions League · resolved market
FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefd040dd87d99d7e5512cc34bcdd53aa152c757b1d5634f1574cda6dc3b018c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 43c | 3,780$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.97 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 2,082$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.05 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.65 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 56c | 1,224$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.08 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 1,100$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.13 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 64c | 782.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.89 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 23c | 716.8$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.28 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 37c | 675.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed Under | 79c | 630.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 568.93$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.87 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 530.28$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.55 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 398.18$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.1 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 21c | 378.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.37 | 122 | 19.7%24 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 21c | 327.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.85 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 80c | 296$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 12c | 280$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 20c | 268$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 80c | 130$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 21c | 126.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 42c | 87.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 44c | 85.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 20c | 82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 21c | 65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 64c | 55.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 45c | 52.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…da72backed Under | 78c | 44.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 24c | 43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 27cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 59c | 35.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 76c | 32.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 68c | 28.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 62c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 65c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 79c | 15.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FC Drita 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FC Drita O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FC Drita O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Drita (-1.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
- Spread: FC Drita (-2.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-1.5)FC Drita won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-2.5)FC Drita won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.