Dota2 · resolved market
Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x915489b259ded8c2197beb12a5af741bec45ce053ad11ca062d4e4cf12a86650
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked No | 59c | 7,599$4,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,483.39 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yes | 41c | 7,317$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317.07 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 60c | 2,523$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.01 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked No | 63c | 2,250$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.46 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 63c | 2,195$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.57 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,884$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.02 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 52c | 1,822$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.39 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed No | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.99 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Yes | 37c | 1,345$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.38 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 35c | 1,266$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.35 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yes | 41c | 1,240$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.34 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Yes | 44c | 1,218$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.98 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed No | 51c | 1,152$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.36 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed No | 61c | 903$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.87 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 63c | 887.97$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.42 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 59c | 789.25$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.36 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 62c | 786.07$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.4 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 758.38$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.45 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 20c | 752.1$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.83 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked No | 3c | 592.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 40c | 573.5$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.33 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…c13fbacked Yes | 35c | 571.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 40c | 550$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 13c | 542.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Yes | 63c | 524.44$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.38 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yes | 23c | 510.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.81 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 49c | 485$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.65 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 73c | 419.29$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Yes | 41c | 406.68$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.94 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 17c | 402.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Yes | 35c | 348.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.57 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Yes | 44c | 337.93$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.93 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…53a1backed Yes | 67c | 322.22$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 37c | 302.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.05 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.12 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Yes | 37c | 237.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed Yes | 48c | 235.6$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 59c | 223.89$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 19c | 221.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.16 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55e…735bbacked Yes | 41c | 215.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa618…20bbbacked Yes | 45c | 214.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.14 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 58c | 206.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…7f01backed Yes | 41c | 194.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked No | 27c | 185.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Yes | 52c | 172.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Yes | 63c | 164.07$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed No | 63c | 158.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed No | 52c | 154.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2267…3355backed No | 70c | 154.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed No | 67c | 150.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Yes | 41c | 145.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed No | 60c | 145$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 55c | 143.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 14c | 142.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Yes | 54c | 141.16$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 33c | 136.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked No | 22c | 136.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 28c | 136$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Yes | 44c | 131.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed No | 64c | 122$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…62c7backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed No | 12c | 118.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…878ebacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Yes | 44c | 110$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 12c | 107.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Yes | 58c | 106.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 34c | 99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Yes | 37c | 97.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…e432backed Yes | 48c | 94.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed No | 12c | 91.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 64c | 90.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff11…c6f3backed Yes | 31c | 90$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 14c | 89.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf76e…3650backed Yes | 47c | 89.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…8fd8backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 22c | 86.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Yes | 41c | 86.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…0a15backed Yes | 48c | 85.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 61c | 83.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 62c | 81.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed Yes | 40c | 80.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed No | 60c | 80.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No | 65c | 78.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed No | 27c | 75.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 51c | 74.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?this page
- PlayTime to win 2-0?No won
- PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.