La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7466522858e183e4e129a52311f4b271a849c1a006e8640a5841388fd673e0ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 72c | 1,037$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.26 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 466.26$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.56 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes | 50c | 328$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 28c | 306.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 27c | 286.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 19c | 224.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 71c | 221.66$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320b…0579backed Yes | 29c | 179.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 51c | 167.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 162.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 157.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 151.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Yes | 28c | 144.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…5ef5backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Yes | 75c | 49.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 49c | 36.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 49c | 36.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 49c | 36.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 49c | 36.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 72c | 34.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed No | 73c | 33.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 73c | 19.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Draw at halftime?Yes won
- FC Barcelona leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.